{"id":807,"date":"2005-09-19T15:01:00","date_gmt":"2005-09-19T15:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/09\/19\/german-elections-it-could-be-weeks\/"},"modified":"2005-09-19T15:01:00","modified_gmt":"2005-09-19T15:01:00","slug":"german-elections-it-could-be-weeks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/09\/german-elections-it-could-be-weeks\/","title":{"rendered":"German elections: it could be weeks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Beeb, as ever, has <a href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/europe\/4259612.stm\">a load of good info<\/a>, including the wonderful bit &#8220;Mr Schroeder said he could not understand how the CDU &#8216;stakes a claim to political leadership from a disastrous election result'&#8221; &#8211; because, erm&#8230; they beat you by 1% and yet you&#8217;re still claiming power? Nice one, Gerdy&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile <a href=\"http:\/\/ostracised.blogspot.com\/2005\/09\/dreadlock-joschka.html\">Ostracised from \u00ef\u00bf\u00bdsterreich looks at some potential coalitions<\/a> after <a href=\"http:\/\/ostracised.blogspot.com\/2005\/09\/live-blogging-german-elefants.html\">liveblogging yesterday&#8217;s results<\/a>, while <a href=\"http:\/\/www.north-sea.net\/?p=40\">North Sea Diaries<\/a> points out that, despite the scare stories about the German economy and unemployment, comparisons to 1970s Britain (and thus Merkel to Thatcher) are not as accurate as many believe.<\/p>\n<p>Medienkritik has the <a href=\"http:\/\/medienkritik.typepad.com\/blog\/2005\/09\/election_result.html\">German electoral map<\/a> &#8211; showing a rather hefty north\/south, east\/west divide. He&#8217;s also provided a similar map of unemployment figures, hinting at a correlation, as well as a bit more <a href=\"http:\/\/medienkritik.typepad.com\/blog\/2005\/09\/german_election_1.html\">coalition speculation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Over at Bildt Comments, <a href=\"http:\/\/bildt.blogspot.com\/2005\/09\/mostly-losers.html\">in Berlin everything&#8217;s unclear except the weather<\/a> &#8211; the only thing that&#8217;s certain is that &#8220;there are distinctly more losers than winners&#8221; &#8211; and the Dresden election in two weeks could end up decisive. Possibly. Depending on everything else that happens. Perhaps.<\/p>\n<p>Whether or not this result is as bad as some seem to think (sections of the German press apparently calling it <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eupolitix.com\/EN\/News\/200509\/6ff9f987-d1c7-4997-b54f-34bb7cd4dbd3.htm\">&#8220;fatal&#8221;<\/a>) it&#8217;s simply too early to say. But <a href=\"http:\/\/service.spiegel.de\/cache\/international\/0,1518,375416,00.html\">if even the German press don&#8217;t know what to make of it<\/a>, you can be sure that anything you read in the English language press will be even less helpful &#8211; not least thanks to the animosity with Britain and America that Schr\u00ef\u00bf\u00bdder&#8217;s managed to build up over the last few years (and that Merkel could, lazily, be mistaken for a Neocon).<\/p>\n<p>Expect a load of punditry on potential German governments in the European press over the next couple of weeks, in other words. Most of it more or less ill-informed, all of it highly speculative and based in little in the way of knowledge or fact.<\/p>\n<p><b>Update:<\/b> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eupolitix.com\/EN\/News\/200509\/55f1095d-c568-4959-81ed-8908a9004d1f.htm\">Hysteria from the Commission<\/a>. Well, not hysteria, exactly, but can&#8217;t we just let the Germans sort out their problems for themselves? It&#8217;s not like they actually WANT a political deadlock. Well, except for the fact that that&#8217;s what they voted for&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>(Oh, and can someone tell Mandelson to shut up about &#8220;social models&#8221;? Whenever I hear that phrase I think of those little postcard adverts you get in the phone boxes around Soho. As such, a &#8220;new social model&#8221; appears to feel quite nice for a bit but then leave you feeling ripped off, broke and dosed up on clap. Not that I&#8217;d know, obviously&#8230;)<\/p>\n<p>By the by, <a href=\"http:\/\/fistfulofeuros.net\/archives\/001908.php\">this should be read if you want to know what&#8217;s going on<\/a> &#8211; a nice overview with good analysis, and even a few nuggets along the lines of &#8220;the F.D.P. served chicken wings in their car park&#8221;. Can&#8217;t be bad.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Beeb, as ever, has a load of good info, including the wonderful bit &#8220;Mr Schroeder said he could not understand how the CDU &#8216;stakes a claim to political leadership from a disastrous election result&#8217;&#8221; &#8211; because, erm&#8230; they beat &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/09\/german-elections-it-could-be-weeks\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/807\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}