{"id":375,"date":"2005-03-15T13:43:00","date_gmt":"2005-03-15T13:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/03\/15\/doing-the-electoral-maths\/"},"modified":"2005-03-15T13:43:00","modified_gmt":"2005-03-15T13:43:00","slug":"doing-the-electoral-maths","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/03\/doing-the-electoral-maths\/","title":{"rendered":"Doing the electoral maths"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it looks like the election will probably be <a href=\"http:\/\/politics.guardian.co.uk\/election\/story\/0,15803,1437993,00.html\">called between April 4th and 7th<\/a>. If you&#8217;ve been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pollingreport.co.uk\/blog\/index.php\">following the polls<\/a> (latest: CON 34% (+4) LAB 39%(-3) LD 19%(+1)) or <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politicalbetting.com\/\">working out the odds<\/a> (or <a href=\"http:\/\/mybetting.oddschecker.com\/mybetting\/mode\/o\/card\/cc8859x\/odds\/10723x\/sid\/10446\">taking others&#8217; odds<\/a>), you&#8217;re no doubt getting a tad confused. <\/p>\n<p>There have been all kinds of scare stories that if you <a href=\"http:\/\/www.backingblair.co.uk\/\">Back Blair<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.vote4peace.org.uk\/\">Vote4Peace<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.strategicvoter.org.uk\/\">vote strategically<\/a> or <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sonowwhodowevotefor.net\/\">for someone else<\/a> then the Tories may get back in. And that would, so everyone keeps telling me, be a disaster. Because yeah &#8211; Blair&#8217;s crap and all, but the Tories MUST be worse than Labour, right? (Because, erm&#8230; you know, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.channel4.com\/history\/microsites\/H\/history\/a-b\/belgrano.html\">sinking of the Belgrano<\/a> was&#8230; erm&#8230; obviously far worse than anything <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iraqbodycount.net\/\">Blair&#8217;s been responsible for&#8230;<\/a>)<\/p>\n<p>Never fear. The Tories haven&#8217;t got a hope in hell. <a href=\"http:\/\/existingactually.blogspot.com\/2005\/03\/for-tomorrow-i-126-as-limit.html\">Here &#8211; in insane detail &#8211; is why<\/a>. Feel free to vote tactically, people. Give Blair all the bloody noses you want &#8211; votes is the only language politicians understand.<\/p>\n<p>Oh and for the record, I am well nigh certain that &#8211; despite everything &#8211; Labour will still be returned with a majority in excess of 100 seats. And no, I haven&#8217;t done the maths on that. It&#8217;s just a slightly sick feeling in the pit of my stomach.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it looks like the election will probably be called between April 4th and 7th. If you&#8217;ve been following the polls (latest: CON 34% (+4) LAB 39%(-3) LD 19%(+1)) or working out the odds (or taking others&#8217; odds), you&#8217;re no &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2005\/03\/doing-the-electoral-maths\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/375","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=375"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/375\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=375"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=375"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=375"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}