{"id":3049,"date":"2012-05-31T13:42:03","date_gmt":"2012-05-31T12:42:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jcm.org.uk\/blog\/?p=3049"},"modified":"2012-05-31T13:42:03","modified_gmt":"2012-05-31T12:42:03","slug":"a-thoughtful-irish-take-on-the-eu-fiscal-treaty-on-referendum-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2012\/05\/a-thoughtful-irish-take-on-the-eu-fiscal-treaty-on-referendum-day\/","title":{"rendered":"A thoughtful Irish take on the EU Fiscal Treaty on referendum day"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.co.uk\/\">Conor Slowey<\/a> is one of the most interesting EU bloggers out there, and I agree with his take on things more often than not. He&#8217;s also Irish, which means he&#8217;s had to form a solid yes\/no take on the EU&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/European_Fiscal_Compact\">Fiscal Stability Treaty<\/a> ahead of today&#8217;s Irish referendum on the damned thing.<\/p>\n<p>Rather him than me. It&#8217;s a complex, confusing compromise that no one&#8217;s really happy with, and it&#8217;s near impossible to tell if it&#8217;s better than the alternative. Largely because no one knows what the alternative is.<\/p>\n<p>After <a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.co.uk\/2012\/01\/fiscal-stability-treaty.html\">several months<\/a> of hard thought, he finally worked out his position just a couple of days ago.<\/p>\n<p>Yep &#8211; someone who&#8217;s been blogging about the EU regularly for three years, and who knows infinitely more than your average punter about how these things work, has taken several <strong>months<\/strong> to work out their position. Little wonder that <a href=\"http:\/\/news.ie.msn.com\/voting-under-way-on-eu-fiscal-treaty-referendum\">early reports<\/a> suggest that turnout could be under 10%. Yes, really &#8211; under ten per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Which all makes Conor&#8217;s reasoning all the more interesting:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;I really don&#8217;t like this treaty. It&#8217;s clear that it will neither have prevented the crisis&#8230; nor will it do anything to solve it. As I&#8217;ve pointed out before, the Treaty is 90% <a href=\"http:\/\/eulaw.wordpress.com\/2012\/01\/28\/the-eu-fiscal-stability-treaty-summary-and-analysis\/\">existing EU law<\/a>, since the European Parliament has passed the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/news\/en\/headlines\/content\/20110429FCS18371\/html\/Economic-governance-package-explained\">&#8220;six-pack&#8221; of legislation<\/a> last year. It&#8217;s already mostly in force &#8211; it has caused <a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.com\/2012\/01\/brussels-v-brussels-belgium-and-eu.html\">political complaints in Belgium<\/a>, and was part of the reason for the <a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.com\/2012\/04\/ruttes-dutch-government-falls.html\">collapse of the Dutch government<\/a> this year.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;For these reasons I originally wanted a No vote as a political message against austerity and to promote a more balanced approach at the European level. I don&#8217;t oppose <a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.com\/2011\/12\/left-and-new-fiscal-compact.html\"><em>some<\/em> level of collective budget discipline<\/a> nationally if it leads to a positive reform of the Eurozone: Eurobonds, the ECB becoming the lender of last resort, a banking union so that banking problems will not be localised and made the problem of one or two Member States, etc. But it should come as part of a grand bargain where it&#8217;s not simply about the core and the periphery, but about building a working Euro-system. Suggestions that ratifying the FST would give Germany enough confidence in the Eurozone to sign up to Eurobonds &#8220;sometime in the future&#8221; did not comfort me.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;So why have I moved towards a Yes?&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/theeuropeancitizen.blogspot.co.uk\/2012\/05\/very-reluctant-yes-on-fiscal-stability.html\">Well worth a read<\/a>. If it were me voting today, I have to say I have no idea what I&#8217;d opt for&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Conor Slowey is one of the most interesting EU bloggers out there, and I agree with his take on things more often than not. He&#8217;s also Irish, which means he&#8217;s had to form a solid yes\/no take on the EU&#8217;s &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/2012\/05\/a-thoughtful-irish-take-on-the-eu-fiscal-treaty-on-referendum-day\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,34,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics","category-elections","category-eu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3049","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3049"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3049\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3050,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3049\/revisions\/3050"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jcm.org.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}